With a potential market upgrade in September 2025, BSC forecasts Vietnam’s stock market could draw up to 1.5 billion USD in capital inflows. (Photo: VnEconomy)

The Vietnamese economy in 2025 aims for growth between 6.5% and 7.4%, with inflation kept below 4.4%. Strong institutional, infrastructure, and human resource reforms are opening up a wealth of opportunities for long-term sustainable growth.

According to the latest report by BIDV Securities (BSC) on Vietnam's macroeconomic outlook and stock market in 2025, the country is undergoing significant transformation, driven by comprehensive reforms and large-scale investment strategies. These factors are expected to propel Vietnam into a breakout economy in the coming period.

As the global market is shaped by factors such as declining inflation, lower interest rates, and a strong labor market, BSC believes that Vietnam will benefit from improving macroeconomic foundations.

Alongside the return of President Donald Trump and the implementation of his 2.0 policies, the global economy may face major changes. This includes a rising Dollar Index and potential financial market volatility, posing challenges for emerging economies, including Vietnam.

However, Vietnam is undertaking strong reforms in three key areas: institutions, human resources, and infrastructure. According to BSC, with extensive reform policies, especially key legal documents being passed, Vietnam is entering a new phase of development. Big infrastructure projects such as highway upgrades, high-speed railway development, and nuclear power projects will be crucial factors ensuring sustainable economic growth.

With synchronized reforms and major investment strategies, BSC forecasts Vietnam’s GDP to grow between 6.5% and 7.4% in 2025, with inflation controlled at 3.2%-4.4%. While reforms take time to yield results, BSC experts believe that by Q3 2025, the economy will show positive signs, setting the stage for a strong stock market performance."

Additionally, BSC highlights Vietnam’s anticipated stock market upgrade from a frontier to an emerging market in September 2025. This is expected to boost investor confidence and attract substantial capital inflows from international investment funds, potentially reaching US$1.5 billion. The upgrade marks a new phase for Vietnam’s stock market, bringing it in line with international standards and enhancing its position in the global financial landscape.